De Chinese Wouden, dinsdag 15 november: Rutte treft Xi, G20 Bali, Amerikaanse druk op Nederland
Goedemorgen of –middag. Het duurde vandaag wat langer om het vele nieuws van de dag aaneen te rijgen. Het belangrijkste nieuws vandaag is de ontmoeting tussen Mark Rutte en Xi Jinping, de ontmoeting tussen Joe Biden en Xi Jinping en de onderhandelingen tussen Den Haag en Washington DC over de halfgeleiderindustrie en China.
Nederland en Europa 🇳🇱🇪🇺
Nederlandse handel steeds meer afhankelijk van China – NOS 🇳🇱
Cover Story: Will Europe pour more money into China? – Caixin Global: ‘Large European enterprises are increasingly taking the lead. Japanese businesses are retreating in manufacturing and advancing in services. And American companies are frozen’ 🇪🇺
China’s Secret Police Stations in Europe – Spiegel Online: ‘“It isn’t a centralized operation from Beijing,” Dahlin says of the police stations abroad.’ 🇪🇺
China’s offshore ‘police service stations’ spark European alarm – FT 🇪🇺
PM Rishi Sunak calls China ‘systemic challenge’, in sign of softer UK stance – The Guardian 🇬🇧
UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak refuses to rule out sending arms to Taiwan as his government reviews its foreign, defence and security policy – Bloomberg 🇬🇧
Germany and Singapore to deepen collaboration, including in climate action and defence – The Straits Times 🇩🇪
Staatssekretärin Franziska Brantner (Grüne) reist nach Taiwan – DPA 🇩🇪
G20 Bali 🇮🇩
Xi spreekt met Rutte over doorgaan ASML-leveranties aan China – FD 🇳🇱
习近平会见荷兰首相吕特 – 新华网 🇳🇱
Staatspersbureau Xinhua bericht dat Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 en Mark Rutte elkaar getroffen hebben in Bali. Xi sprak zich uit tegen ‘ontkoppeling’, de ‘politisering’ van handel en het beschermen van supply chains (hallo, ASML!).
G20: China’s Xi Jinping says food and energy security should not be ‘weaponised’ – SCMP: ‘International cooperation has been disturbed’
Bovenstaande was onderdeel van de spreekpunten lager in het propagandasysteem wanneer men expliciet de VS en de ‘VS-geleide NAVO’ de schuld gaf van ‘de Oekraïnecrisis’ en benadrukte wat voor een negatieve gevolgen Amerikaans gerotzooi heeft.
G20 leaders to agree communiqué rejecting ‘era of war’ – FT: ‘The language regarding the war and Moscow’s repeated use of nuclear rhetoric is stronger than western officials forecast, and underscores rising anxiety in non-western states about Vladimir Putin’s invasion and its widespread effects.’
Germany’s Scholz hopeful for G20 resolution condemning Russian invasion – Reuters
De relatie tussen Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 en Kim Jong-un 金正恩 – NOS Met het Oog op Morgen
G20: Michel wil samenwerken met China, maar waakt voor „zelfde fout als bij Rusland” – NOS 🇪🇺
Europe must avoid over-reliance on China, says European Council President Charles Michel – Reuters 🇪🇺
Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 calls for French respect and cooperation in meeting with Macron – SCMP: ‘maintain its independence in foreign relations’ ‘provide a fairer, more just and non-discriminatory business environment for Chinese companies’
Australia and China might be on speaking terms, but on policy and in reality remain far apart – ABC News
Betrekkingen VS en China 🇺🇸🇨🇳
Geen grote doorbraken, wel een opsteker: Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 en Joe Biden praten weer – De Volkskrant
Xi tegen Biden: kwestie-Taiwan is ‘eerste rode lijn’, niet mee bemoeien – NOS
Biden and Xi clash over Taiwan in Bali but Cold War fears cool – Reuters
After the Biden-Xi meeting, Beijing signals optimism over relations with Washington – The New York Times
After Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 spoke for more than three hours on Monday with Joe Biden, China’s description of the meeting shows how its approach to US ties is shifting – Bloomberg: ‘Beijing described the in-person meeting as “candid, in-depth and constructive” — with the last term usually used by China to suggest a positive development.’
Who accompanied Chinese President Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 for face-to-face talks with Joe Biden? – SCMP: Dīng Xuēxiáng 丁薛祥, Wáng Yì 王毅 (mogelijke opvolger van Yáng Jiéchí 杨洁篪), Hé Lìfēng 何立峰 (waarschijnlijke opvolger van Liú Hè 刘鹤), Xiè Fēng 谢锋, Mǎ Zhāoxù 马朝旭, Yang Tao, Lu Luhua, en Huà Chūnyíng 华春莹; afwezig: ambassadeur Qín Gāng 秦刚 (genoemd als mogelijke opvolger van Wáng Yì 王毅).
Xi-Biden talks: Blinken to visit China in push for open lines of communication – SCMP
Remarks by President Biden and President Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 of the People’s Republic of China Before Bilateral Meeting – The White House
Readout of President Joe Biden’s Meeting with President Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 of the People’s Republic of China – The White House: ‘He raised U.S. objections to the PRC’s coercive and increasingly aggressive actions toward Taiwan, which undermine peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait and in the broader region, and jeopardize global prosperity.’ ‘President Biden and President Xi reiterated their agreement that a nuclear war should never be fought and can never be won and underscored their opposition to the use or threat of use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine.’
Xinhua Headlines: Xi and Biden hold candid, in-depth exchange of views on bilateral ties, major global issues – Xinhua: ‘The current state of China-U.S. relations is not in the fundamental interests of the two countries and peoples, and is not what the international community expects, Xi said.’ ‘He stressed that the Taiwan question is at the very core of China's core interests, the bedrock of the political foundation of China-U.S. relations, and the first red line that must not be crossed in China-U.S. relations.’
Chinese and US presidents reach agreements on bilateral ties, discuss Ukraine issue – Xinhua: ‘Xi said facing a global, composite crisis like the one in Ukraine, it is important to give serious thought to three points. First, conflicts and wars produce no winner; second, there is no simple solution to a complex issue; and third, confrontation between major countries must be avoided.’
Het Chinese staatspersbureau noemt nucleaire wapens niet.
王毅就中美元首会晤向媒体介绍情况并答问 –新华网
“关于乌克兰问题,习主席重申了中方处理乌克兰问题的‘四个应该’,阐明了中方应对乌克兰局势最新演变的‘四个共同’。强调开展对话谈判,和平解决危机是当务之急,核武器用不得、核战争打不得,应防止亚欧大陆出现核危机,还应共同努力确保全球产业链供应链稳定,避免出现更大规模人道主义危机,中方始终站在和平的一边,将继续劝和促谈。”
Minister Wáng Yì 王毅 noemde wel tijdens zijn persconferentie de eerder uitgesproken Chinese oppositie tegen nucleaire oorlog in Eurazië, zonder daarbij een partij expliciet aan te spreken.
Taiwan thanks Biden for support in meeting with Xi – Focus Taiwan
Dozens of Americans are barred from leaving China, adding to tensions – WSJ
US Congress seeks to arm Taiwan quickly as China threat grows – The Washington Post
Documents Detail Foreign Government Spending at Trump Hotel – The New York Times ‘also showed $19,370 in spending by a delegation from the Embassy of China at the Trump hotel in late August 2017’
Betrekkingen Rusland en China 🇷🇺🇨🇳
Emboldened Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 steps back on to world stage with G20 summit – FT: ‘But according to four people briefed on the February meeting, Xi was caught off-guard by an invasion that Putin did not warn him of in advance — thus jeopardising the safety of thousands of Chinese nationals then living in Ukraine. “Putin didn’t tell Xi the truth,” a Chinese official told the Financial Times.’
A senior US official said China is uncomfortable with Russia’s rhetoric and invasion of Ukraine – WSJ
Tech War 💽
Biden has taken the tech race to another level, forcing the world to pick sides – Bloomberg: ‘behind the scenes, frustrations are palpable. People familiar with the Dutch government’s thinking said it was easy for the US to implement controls on China, but they leave the Netherlands squeezed between the two and having to navigate an extremely sensitive path.’ 🇳🇱
US tries to enlist allies in assault on China’s chip industry – FT: ‘Estevez said: “We don’t go into these discussions in a coercive manner. They’re our allies. I will say I like sake and I like Dutch beer.”’
‘The nations were close to a tentative deal earlier this year that would have barred exports of tools capable of making 10 nanometre chips, according to people familiar with the talks. But The Hague was less willing after the US stressed the need to have a lower bar of 14nm — a less advanced chip — which partly matches the October 7 controls.’ 🇳🇱
Top European chip companies seek stability amid US-China dispute – FT: ‘they have no plans to halt their operations in the Asian country, the world’s second-largest economy.’ 🇪🇺
China’s chip equipment makers struggle to profit at home from US export controls – FT
Overig
China buitenland
Chinese aid to African security forces helps to cement ties, study says – SCMP
China-Pakistan trade deficit in focus after prime minister’s visit to Beijing – SCMP
Canada police charge Hydro-Québec employee with spying for China – AP
Canadese politie beschuldigt batterij-onderzoeker van spionage voor China – FD
China binnenland
Millions of missing women: China grapples with legacy of one-child policy as population ages – The Guardian
Why India overtaking China as most populous country is more than symbolic – Julian Borger for The Guardian
Demografen als Yì Fùxián 易富贤 zeggen al jaren dat de Chinese bevolkingscijfers niet kloppen, dat piek waarschijnlijk al jaren eerder bereikt is en dat 1,4 miljard te hoog lijkt.
How Xí Jìnpíng 习近平 is mobilising the masses to control themselves – The Economist: ’Xi praises the Fengqiao model, which he has redefined as a way of empowering people. In reality he is using people to supplement the Communist Party’s other tools of control.’
Law of the PRC on the Establishment of the Social Credit System (Draft Released for Solicitation of Public Comments) – China Law Translate
Zie ook dit draadje op Twitter van expert Vincent Brussee.
Hong Kong demands probe as pro-democracy protest song played instead of anthem at Korean Rugby 7s – HKFP
陈敏尔或调任天津市委书记 传袁家军将出任重庆市委书记 – 联合早报
Chinese city Shijiazuang tiptoes away from zero-Covid – FT
China is considering a potential emergency approval of BioNTech’s Covid-19 vaccine to make it available to foreigners living in the country – Bloomberg
China’s tough Covid lockdowns fuel rare violent protests in Guangzhou – Bloomberg
China economie
Xi searches for bad-loan solution that does not hinder growth: Can president strike a balance to prevent the collapse of small companies? – Nikkei Asia: ‘the year-end expiration of deferrals on the principal and interest of their bank loans.’
China’s economy suffers ‘further loss of momentum’ as retail sales fall in October – SCMP
While the world fights inflation, China’s problem is deflation – Thomas Hale for FT
Foreign companies adopt ‘China for China’ strategy – FT
China's super-rich are decamping to Singapore in ever greater numbers — and the cost of luxury cars, mansions and golf-club memberships is soaring – Bloomberg
Taiwan buitenland en defensie
Defence ministry mum on Taiwan-China navy radio confrontation – Taipei Times
President Tsai Ing-wen 蔡英文 (Cài Yīngwén) vows to boost national defence and regional peace when meeting delegation led Center for American Progress chairman – Taipei Times
Taiwan company Sharp Edge Engineering faces US sanctions for military tech sales to Russia – Focus Taiwan
A Dangerous Game Over Taiwan – The New Yorker
Taiwan binnenland
Taiwan’s CECC to raise cap on travellers for holiday season to 200,000 people per week – Taipei Times
Investment fraud tripled over two years, Control Yuan reports – Taipei Times
Campaign Trail: KMT event in New Taipei – Frozen Garlic
campaign trail: KMT in Taipei City – Frozen Garlic
Campaign trail: DPP in Taitung – Frozen Garlic
Deze twee stukjes zijn nogal impressionistisch, maar normaal is de blog Frozen Garlic van politicoloog Nathan Batto dé plek voor gedegen kwantitatieve analyse van Taiwanese verkiezingen.
The great-grandson of former Taiwan leader Chiang Kai-shek, Wayne Chiang Wan-an 蔣萬安 (Jiǎng Wàn'ān) (KMT), leads polls in the race to be the next mayor of Taipei, as the island prepares for local elections – Bloomberg
Deze ‘peiling’ van de pro-DPP krant Liberty Times betrof de vraag wie men de meest waarschijnlijke winnaar acht. Het zou een poging kunnen zijn om gematigde stemmers van de derde kandidaat van de TPP – loco-burgemeester Huang Shan-shan 黃珊珊 (Huáng Shānshān) – weg te lokken naar de DPP in wat in Taiwanese first-past-the-post context dump-save 棄保 qìbǎo heet.